ADVANCED CAPABILITIES · 07 — ACTUAL & FORECAST COST

Not calculating cost — seeing where it changed.

The cost you calculate when quoting and the cost that materializes when the job closes are rarely the same. WinPremium compares each order's forecast and actual cost line by line, and shows — before the job ends — how a seemingly profitable order really closes once overheads are included.

Manager reviewing the cost board on the factory floor Live cost on the shop-floor board

Forecast vs actual

The cost at quotation and the real cost at job close are placed side by side, order by order.

Line-by-line transparency

Material, labor, dies, varnish, freight and overheads show separately; where the gap formed is plain.

True profitability

Once overheads are included, the margin the job really closes at emerges before it ends.

LAST WEEK · JOBS CLOSED

6

forecast vs actual

LOOKED PROFITABLE, CLOSED AT A LOSS

3

real cost gap

LARGEST VARIANCE

25%

over forecast

CLOSED UNDER BUDGET

3

a pricing opportunity appears

Cost Comparison by Job — forecast vs actual (practical)
ORDERJOBCUSTOMERFORECASTACTUALVARIANCERESULT
#0b5cff Envelope · 355,200 units Berka Ambalaj €30,310 €26,671 12.0% under profitable
#0b5cff Envelope · 140,000 units Berka Ambalaj €12,900 €12,200 5.4% under profitable
#0b5cff Board Bag · 15,000 units Vega Ofset €10,400 €12,000 15.4% over loss
#0b5cff Board Bag · 15,000 units Vega Ofset €13,200 €16,500 25.0% over loss
#0b5cff Box · 6,000 units Marsan Baskı €4,500 €5,400 20.0% over loss
#0b5cff IKONE 20×20×5 · 5,575 units Teknik Ambalaj €1,737.33 €1,105.00 36.4% under profitable

Click a job — the line-by-line cost comparison and true profit analysis opens.

WHY DOES IT MATTER?

What is knowing actual and forecast cost good for?

Most manufacturers quote on instinct or a rough calculation. When the job closes, the real cost is usually different — overtime, high waste, unexpected freight or unallocated overheads. A company that cannot see that gap loses money on jobs it believes are profitable, and finds out at month end rather than end of shift.

Cost and variance analysis panels across two screens Cost & variance analysis — WinPremium

Correct pricing

A company that knows its real cost prices the next quotation on data, not instinct.

Finding the leak

Invisible items such as waste, overtime, rework and freight are traced down to the order.

Spotting a losing job early

Jobs that look profitable but will lose money are flagged at the quotation stage.

Allocating overheads fairly

Overheads are allocated to each order in proportion; no job hides another's cost.

A CONCRETE EXAMPLE

How much did the job you thought was "profitable" really leave?

On the IKONE order, the quotation looked 131% profitable against material and labor. Once overheads, the general machine and labor share and freight were added, the real margin fell to 57.2%. That gap is not small: the decision to price the same job correctly next time — or to decline it — rests on that number.

  • Material and labor are right; the gap comes entirely from unallocated overheads.
  • The system shows the gap the moment the job closes, not at month end.
  • The next quotation to the same customer is issued on a real cost base.

IKONE 20×20×5 · #0b5cff

EXCLUDING OVERHEADS
131%
ACTUAL (PRACTICAL)
57.2%

That gap of 73.8 points comes from unallocated overheads. WinPremium distributes that share across every order and shows true profit before the job ends.

NEXT · 08 — AUTOMATION SYSTEMS

A variance is a signal; signals trigger action.

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